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	<title>放輕鬆外匯部落格 Chinese Forex Blog</title>
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		<title>放輕鬆外匯部落格 Chinese Forex Blog</title>
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		<title>歷史性的一刻!! XAU touched $1,000</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/13/%e6%ad%b7%e5%8f%b2%e6%80%a7%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%80%e5%88%bb-xau-touched-1000/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/13/%e6%ad%b7%e5%8f%b2%e6%80%a7%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%80%e5%88%bb-xau-touched-1000/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 16:11:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=109</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[大家盼望的千元大點! $1000..$1000..$1000 最近太忙了, 自從上次$983獲利了結後就一直沒進場, 今早沒錯過一分鐘圖, $1000 真是太漂亮了! 不過一碰到這大整數一千元價格馬上就跑下來, 會不會是 all time high? Well, 我只能說千元以上的機率增加, but no guaranty!<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=109&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>XAG/USD 3-3-2008</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/03/xagusd-3-3-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/03/xagusd-3-3-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Mar 2008 16:37:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[銀/美元 XAG/USD]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=107</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[金銀比例已經跌到 49:1 以下, 今早 XAG 達到 4-month 的 R3- $20.6, 我決定先不玩了, 就先獲利了結專心工作去吧!<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=107&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>XAU/USD 3-3-2008</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/03/xauusd-3-3-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/03/xauusd-3-3-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Mar 2008 16:19:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=105</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[看到MACD數值那麼高, 今早幾乎到了 weekly R1, 有一種說不上來恐懼的感覺, 是時候 hedge, 鎖定利潤 lock the profit 的時機了.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=105&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<title>金銀比例跌破50! Buzz Light Year!</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/02/%e9%87%91%e9%8a%80%e6%af%94%e4%be%8b%e8%b7%8c%e7%a0%b450-buzz-light-year/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/03/02/%e9%87%91%e9%8a%80%e6%af%94%e4%be%8b%e8%b7%8c%e7%a0%b450-buzz-light-year/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Mar 2008 20:25:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[銀/美元 XAG/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chinese]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Demark]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[部落格]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[銀]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[黃金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pivot point]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XAU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[外匯]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[中文]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=104</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[緊張緊張! 刺激刺激! 離上次呼之欲出的金銀比例50以下不過幾天的光景, 銀價衝的比巴斯光年 Buzz Light Year 還快, 不僅達到四星期週期的 DeMark Ehi 也衝破 R2! 星期五的收盤價 close price: Gold = 973.6 Silver = 19.81 Ratio = 49.146/1 兩星期前 XAU/USD 2-17-2008 趁金價整理的時候 short XAU $908.5, 手氣不好, 停損 stop loss $917 被打到, 我那張單停損後馬上重開改為買進, 獲利點設在 $958 也達到, 所以還有賺. 不過事實也證明了幾點: 1. 金價的確 break out 2. 在牛市的情況下, 逢低買進是最好的策略, 想賣空的要歸類為 『賭博』 試手氣, 沒停損現在還硬撐不放的就損失慘重! [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=104&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<title>台幣升破31! USD/TWD</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/27/%e5%8f%b0%e5%b9%a3%e7%94%9f%e7%a0%b431-usdtwd/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/27/%e5%8f%b0%e5%b9%a3%e7%94%9f%e7%a0%b431-usdtwd/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Feb 2008 21:12:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[美元/台幣]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[想到就說 Forex Messages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chinese]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[美金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EXPORT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[進口]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[部落格]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IMPORT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TWD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[出口]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[匯率]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[台灣中央銀行]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[台幣]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[外匯]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[中文]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=102</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[我很少量的交易USD/TWD, 雖然用了台幣二十幾年, 可是對台灣經濟了解程度可說是幼稚園程度, shame on myself! 我的藉口是才學外匯幾年的時間咩! 之前有向 Bryan請教過最近台幣升值的問題, 我同意他對台灣央行干預台幣升值的看法, 台幣升值的確對讓以出口貿易大宗產業的台灣有不良的影響; 前幾天我在台灣做出口貿易的弟弟也怪我, 叫我不要讓美金拼命跌好不好, 他們公司以美金計價都拼命賠錢, 目前正考慮以歐元計價. 我告訴他: 會啦! 台幣升值只是短暫的, 很快的你就會看到他們』喝咖啡』了! 今早美元對台幣跌到 30.8 (我的經紀商盤價), 我又錯了! 由於外資匯入, 造成許多出口商恐慌性的拋售美元, 台幣升破心理防線 31, 讓我有一種準備後續恐慌的感覺, 央行喝咖啡有可能也抑制不了台幣後續升值, 就如不管美國連準會降不降息一樣, 市場拼命拋售美元, 前兆是: 1. 美國開始爆出房貸風波的時候, 各國拋售美元, 可是當時台幣升值的幅度並不大, 所以當時我的想法是台灣跟著美國跑, 所以對台幣美元的匯率影響不大; 現在升值幅度提高, 好像是在宣示』補升』. 2. 即使傳出台商在大陸經商的總總困難, 但總統選舉迫近, 政治上看好未來與大陸的經濟交流, 母豬可能賽貂蟬, 人民幣比美元還要史艷文, 投資者很可能會止損棄守美元. 3. 『我把不成器的美元賣掉啦!』 隔壁的阿嬸說. 既然你賣我也賣, 把錢換成黃金還是歐元都可以, 就是不要爛爛的美金, anything but [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=102&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>Go! Silver!</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/23/go-silver/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/23/go-silver/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Feb 2008 19:14:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[銀/美元 XAG/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chinese]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[銀]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[外匯]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[上次在文章黃金銀六百年比例提過, 金銀比例有逐漸下降的趨勢. 我剛剛回頭計算一下, 從今年初到現在, 比例下降的趨勢的確在醞釀. 以下是回溯前四個4星期週期的收盤價與比例: 2/22/2008- 目前比例 Current ratio Gold = 945.15 Silver = 18.025 比例 = 52.43/1 1/25/2008 Gold = 913.95 Silver = 16.4875 比例 = 55.43/1 12/28/2007 Gold = 840.48 Silver = 14.783 比例 = 56.85/1 11/30/2007 Gold = 782.25 Silver = 13.985 比例 = 55.93/1 有沒有看到比例正在快速下降當中! 所以邏輯上我又看了一下六百年圖, 金銀比例曲線正想往下衝; 以目前現況如果我們預期金屬繼續往上攀升, 再看前四星期的 Pivot [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=101&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>XAU/USD 2-17-2008</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/17/xauusd-2-17-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/17/xauusd-2-17-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Feb 2008 18:04:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[獲利]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[美金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[美元]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[部落格]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[風險]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[買賣]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[黃金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XAU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[停損]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[基金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[外匯]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[投資]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[期貨]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[中文]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[交易]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=97</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[我最近忙的焦頭爛額, 所以上星期完全沒碰 evil XAU/USD. 從週線圖來看, 前兩個星期 XAU/USD 的確有轉弱的趨勢, 短期內有可能再次大幅整理. 先來看一下上週的數據跟接下來一週的 Pivot Point. High- 927.43 Low- 897.95 Close- 902.6 Current price- 902.55 R1- 920.7033 R2- 938.8067 R3- 950.1833 PP- 909.3267 S1- 891.2233 S2- 879.8467 S3- 861.7433 DeMark Ehi- 917.34 Elow- 887.86 我決定從 pivot point 來試試本週的手氣. PP909.3267, 去掉討厭的尾數和點差 spread, sell at $908.5. 目標在 Elow 附近 $888, 停損在Ehi [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=97&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>恭喜發財! ECB Interest Rate Announcement Feb 7th</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/04/%e6%81%ad%e5%96%9c%e7%99%bc%e8%b2%a1-ecb-interest-rate-announcement-feb-7th/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/04/%e6%81%ad%e5%96%9c%e7%99%bc%e8%b2%a1-ecb-interest-rate-announcement-feb-7th/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2008 20:12:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[歐元/美元 EUR/USD]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[本週台灣時間二月七日 8:45 PM, 歐洲中央銀行 European Central Bank (ECB) 將發表利率, 目前利率 4%, 市場預期眾說紛紜, 大致上說不會升息, 所以分為維持目前利率和降息兩派, cut or no way? 之前提過歐洲國家通貨膨脹劇升, 最近西班牙失業率連續兩個月提高達到 8% 以上, 很明顯的美國並不是唯一經濟發展困難的國家, 兩相比較非常相似; 就在美國上個月採取激烈的降息 1.25% 措施後, 歐洲國家是否也會採取行動? 根劇 Bloomberg 的報導Bernanke Makes Bulls From Dollar Bears Seeing Growth, 有些大咖的外匯投資者指出, 美國柏克南的驚動降息之舉將帶領美元由熊市轉為牛市, 預計今年美元將升值至少 9% 對抗歐元. 上星期美國糟糕的 NFP 數據發表後, EUR/USD 從1.489 一度衝上 1.495, 隨後 sell off 1.479, 軟弱的數據似乎不足以讓美金貶值突破 [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=92&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<title>預期中的恐慌! Expected massive attack!</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/03/%e9%a0%90%e6%9c%9f%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e6%81%90%e6%85%8c-expected-massive-attack/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/02/03/%e9%a0%90%e6%9c%9f%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e6%81%90%e6%85%8c-expected-massive-attack/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 20:10:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[銀/美元 XAG/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[想到就說 Forex Messages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[白銀]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[美金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[黃金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XAG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XAU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[外匯]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/?p=87</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ho Ho Ho..massive attack! 市場令人訝異也不是新聞了, 其實也都有前兆, 單純以技術分析來看, 各大主要對美元的貨幣都很接近阻力, 尤其是 XAU, 自從去年油價狂飆及 FED 降低利息, 金價創下歷史高點, 對買進黃金的投資者來說, 有那麼多的利潤攤在桌上, 當然就是賺了就跑. FED 為拯救經濟不顧美元價值一再降息, 全球拼命的將美元丟進河裡, 有人指出美國現況必須維持在 2.5% 利率來支撐亂局, 還有人說即使利息降到 1% 美國也無可避免經濟衰退 recession. 好吧, 就算你給它降到不可能再低的利率, 接下來呢? 好像是去年九月還是十月的事, 一堆投資者正等著連準會宣布 『降息』 繼續賣出美元, 結果宣布維持利率不變, 市場反應是管他降不降, 還是拋出美元, 讓一些投資者傻眼. 市場不會單單只依據幾個數據來反應, 經濟衰退是長年累積下來的, 一時的漲跌不會就此決定大局, unless you are on top or bottom, 在我看來美元還沒到底部, 要走的路還很長, God bless America! 預計接下來的幾天會持續上星期五的美元漲幅, in [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=87&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<title>XAU/USD 1-30-2008</title>
		<link>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/01/30/xauusd-1-30-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com/2008/01/30/xauusd-1-30-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Jan 2008 17:04:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>simplemindedtrade</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[金/美元 XAU/USD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[想到就說 Forex Messages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[獲利]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[美金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[美元]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[通貨膨脹]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[風險]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[買賣]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[黃金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XAU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[停損]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[基金]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[外匯]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[如何]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[存摺]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[投資]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[期貨]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[歷史新高]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[交易]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[距離 FED 公佈利息利率時間還有兩小時, 市場預期會再降息 0.25~0.5%, 我認為 FED就算再降息也會如市場預期值調降, 所以既然是期望值, 對市場的影響應該不會很大. 值得注意的是這幾天 XAU, XAG 都出現阻力, 尤其是 XAU 一直在 yearly pivot R1 $920 盤旋, 所以有可能會出現價格大幅調整的情形.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=simplemindedtrade.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2426507&amp;post=79&amp;subd=simplemindedtrade&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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